Hi. Welcome to On Politics, your guide to the day in national politics. I’m Matt Flegenheimer, your temporary host. Lisa Lerer is on vacation, beach-reading Mueller report footnotes.
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On paper, I’d hit the candidate jackpot.
It was 2015 — many months before President Trump had won a single vote — and my campaign assignment couldn’t be beat: I would be covering the front-runner. The juggernaut. The one whose name they’d chant at the convention hall.
Ladies and gentlemen, the 45th president of the United States …
So, plans change. But a funny thing has been happening lately in conversations with people close to the 2020 race: Jeb Bush is on the brain again.
Not because he’s running, a prospect with the approximate likelihood of a third term for Grover Cleveland.
But because those who are running may have more in common with Mr. Bush than they’d care to admit.
Across the Democratic primary field, candidates hoping to avoid his fate — high hopes, “low energy,” hard fall — are finding themselves in familiar political minefields, even if they’d rarely agree with Mr. Bush on policy.
The most conspicuous parallel is Joe Biden, who is expected to enter the race this week as a Jeb-style early favorite, carrying high name identification, uncertain base-voter enthusiasm and heaps of baggage into a political moment that may have passed him by.
But there are also less intuitive comparisons.
Like Mr. Bush in his race, Elizabeth Warren is the clear leader on policy in her primary, churning out proposals but struggling to gain traction in early polls. She is also spending heavily on staff, as Mr. Bush did, outpacing any other campaign despite her middling fund-raising numbers. (Mr. Bush ultimately needed to slash salaries and headquarters staff.)
When I noticed a T-shirt available on her website recently — “Warren Has a Plan For That,” it reads — I flashed immediately to one of Mr. Bush’s particularly ill-fated slogans: “Jeb Can Fix It.”
Then again, maybe Beto O’Rourke is the cleaner analogy — another son of a politician who has faced skepticism for his privileged rise and was coaxed into the presidential contest not by any signature ideological cause but because, in Mr. O’Rourke’s words, he was “born to be in it.” (Of course, the silver spoon critique applies more credibly to Mr. Bush, who shares a surname with two presidents, than to the child of a former El Paso County commissioner.)
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____________________New poll in New Hampshire
Our colleague Matt Stevens sent us this note on a new poll in the 2020 race:
I’m still relatively new to this politics thing, but I have to say, I love polls. So it was with considerable pleasure that I stumbled on a new one Monday, courtesy of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
The Granite State Poll, which included 241 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, showed that Bernie Sanders has widened his lead over Joe Biden. In Monday’s poll, Mr. Sanders procured 30 percent of the vote, compared with 26 percent in a similar February poll; Mr. Biden, who has begun accepting financial donations for a 2020 presidential campaign, fell to 18 percent, compared with 22 percent in February.
The survey, conducted between April 10 and April 18, also showed that interest in Pete Buttigieg continues to rise. Fifteen percent of voters said they would support him, up from 1 percent in the February poll. (Mr. Buttigieg pulled in the support of 9 percent of likely Iowa caucusgoers in a poll conducted by Monmouth University earlier this month.)
The New Hampshire poll showed Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris and Cory Booker next at 5, 4 and 3 percent, respectively, in what has separated into a second tier. Beto O’Rourke also got 3 percent, Amy Klobuchar 2 percent, and Kirsten Gillibrand 1 percent.
One other interesting thing to note: The poll found that Democratic voters are showing a great deal more interest in this presidential primary than they did in the last cycle. About 55 percent of Democrats reported being “extremely interested” in the 2020 race, compared with only 34 percent who expressed those sentiments in May 2015.
Read the full results of the poll here.
• Elizabeth Warren’s latest proposal: Eliminate tuition at public colleges, and wipe away most of America’s student debt.
• The Supreme Court will decide whether a law that forbids employment discrimination based on sex also extends to gay and transgender workers.
• For years, Finland’s subculture of hobbyhorse enthusiasts flourished under the radar. Now the craze is a national export, and a celebration of girlhood.
Happy Dyngus Day! Here’s Mayor Pete Buttigieg signing South Bend’s annual ceremonial kielbasa order.
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马报53期开奖结果【云】【队】，【本】【命】【宁】【云】，【在】【苏】【黎】【的】【印】【象】【中】，【是】【个】【非】【常】【斯】【文】【的】【人】，【也】【非】【常】【的】【爱】【干】【净】，【这】【种】【干】【净】【并】【不】【是】【表】【现】【在】【洁】【癖】【上】，【据】【他】【来】【说】【是】【一】【种】【习】【惯】。 【习】【惯】【每】【天】【将】【键】【盘】【鼠】【标】【擦】【拭】【的】【一】【尘】【不】【染】，【习】【惯】【每】【天】【写】【日】【记】，【习】【惯】【有】【规】【律】【的】【生】【活】。 【尽】【管】【是】【这】【样】，【但】【宁】【云】【的】【王】【者】【荣】【耀】，【却】【是】【队】【伍】【中】【打】【的】【最】【好】【的】，【哪】【怕】【其】【他】【人】【用】【了】【双】【倍】【的】【时】【间】【去】【训】【练】，
【见】【玩】【家】【一】【脸】【丧】【丧】，【它】【随】【即】【安】【慰】【道】：「【也】【不】【是】【完】【全】【没】【事】【做】【的】。」 【听】【了】【它】【的】【话】，【祁】【雪】【眼】【眸】【微】【抬】，【问】【道】：「【什】【么】【事】？」 「【既】【来】【之】，【则】【安】【之】。【横】【竖】【已】【经】【被】【人】【运】【到】【这】【儿】【来】【了】，【那】【人】【既】【然】【还】【肯】【将】【玩】【家】【放】【在】【这】【么】【好】【的】【屋】【子】【里】，【可】【见】【也】【没】【什】【么】【恶】【意】，【瘫】【着】【就】【瘫】【着】【咯】，【正】【好】【整】【理】【一】【下】【隐】【藏】【剧】【情】【呗】。」【小】【六】【出】【着】【主】【意】。 「【这】【可】【是】【玩】
【所】【以】【胡】【峰】【有】【这】【种】【以】【自】【身】【为】【中】【心】【的】【姿】【态】，【倒】【也】【无】【可】【厚】【非】， 【倒】【是】【他】【的】【成】【员】，【因】【社】【会】【反】【响】【很】【好】，【让】【他】【们】【的】【虚】【荣】【心】【得】【到】【了】【非】【常】【大】【的】【满】【足】， …… 【六】【人】【来】【到】【城】【堡】【后】【方】【空】【地】，【两】【架】【直】【升】【飞】【机】【发】【动】， 【性】【感】【菲】【亚】【站】【在】【旁】【边】，【等】【待】【陆】【九】【等】【人】【到】【来】，【她】【牵】【着】【着】【一】【位】【小】【孩】， “【晓】【明】？” 【陆】【九】【走】【出】【房】【门】，【就】【看】【见】【晓】【明】【站】【在】【菲】
【掀】【起】【床】【帘】，【定】【睛】【看】【去】。【任】【卿】【晴】【心】【里】【已】【猜】【到】【会】【是】【个】【男】【子】，【但】【如】【何】【也】【没】【想】【到】【竟】【会】【是】【端】【王】【宇】【通】。【她】【伸】【手】【使】【劲】【去】【推】【尚】【未】【醒】【来】【的】【人】，【口】【中】【轻】【唤】【着】【道】：【王】【爷】！【王】【爷】！ 【唤】【了】【好】【一】【会】【儿】，【人】【才】【渐】【渐】【转】【醒】【过】【来】。 【不】【等】【眼】【睛】【睁】【开】，【只】【觉】【得】【头】【痛】【欲】【裂】，【身】【子】【沉】【重】【乏】【力】，【耳】【边】【有】【人】【在】【唤】‘【王】【爷】’，【听】【来】【急】【切】【得】【很】。【宇】【通】【皱】【着】【眉】【头】【慢】【慢】【睁】【开】【眼】马报53期开奖结果【林】【威】【接】【着】【又】【将】【雁】【门】【各】【县】【的】【情】【况】【说】【了】，【并】【将】【他】【欲】【谋】【醇】【县】、【剧】【阳】、【繁】【峙】【三】【县】【的】【事】【情】，【与】【田】【丰】【的】【应】【对】【也】【都】【详】【细】【讲】【了】【一】【遍】。 【路】【淬】【一】【听】【问】【道】：“【如】【在】【增】【加】【三】【县】，【复】【耕】【所】【需】【钱】【粮】，【是】【否】【需】【要】【麒】【麟】【城】【调】【派】”？ 【林】【威】【道】：“【醇】【县】、【剧】【阳】、【繁】【峙】【三】【县】【与】【平】【城】【等】【边】【县】【还】【有】【些】【区】【别】，【这】【里】【各】【乡】【亭】【民】【众】【以】【及】【官】【员】【还】【是】【有】【些】【的】。 【不】【过】【钱】【粮】
【外】【面】【的】【人】，【看】【到】【徐】【蔓】【枝】【进】【去】【这】【么】【久】【都】【没】【有】【出】【来】，【有】【些】【疑】【惑】，【跟】【着】【便】【打】【算】【上】【前】【查】【看】，【谁】【知】【道】，【周】【忠】【却】【提】【前】【出】【来】【了】。 “【你】【不】【能】【出】【去】！”【保】【镖】【拦】【住】【了】【周】【忠】，【上】【面】【有】【规】【定】【的】，【他】【不】【能】【轻】【易】【离】【开】【实】【验】【室】【半】【步】。 【周】【忠】【听】【到】【这】【句】【话】，【有】【些】【好】【笑】，【看】【了】【眼】【身】【边】【的】【徐】【蔓】【枝】，【便】【问】：“【我】【不】【能】【出】【去】【吗】？” 【假】【的】【徐】【蔓】【枝】【如】【今】，【还】【是】【第】
【多】【国】【会】【议】【以】【后】，【黑】【色】【长】【城】【里】【面】【的】【各】【个】【部】【门】【每】【天】【都】【热】【火】【朝】【天】【的】【运】【作】【着】。 【随】【处】【可】【见】【的】【士】【兵】【都】【做】【着】【属】【于】【自】【己】【的】【事】【情】。 【而】【且】【黑】【色】【长】【城】【代】【表】【着】【地】【球】【顶】【端】【的】【科】【技】【研】【究】，【加】【上】【林】【辰】【和】【天】【使】【的】【帮】【助】，【不】【断】【的】【有】【太】【空】【飞】【船】【被】【制】【造】【出】【来】。 【和】【芒】【砀】【山】【号】【同】【期】【工】【程】【的】【泰】【山】【号】【之】【类】【的】【战】【舰】【相】【继】【制】【造】【成】【功】，【至】【于】【说】【小】【型】【的】【太】【空】【战】【机】【更】【是】【数】【不】